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Event Details 
Science Pop-Up Talks - Modern Weather Analysis and Forecasting: How Do We Know When We are Getting Better and Why Probabilistic Weather Forecasting is Here to Stay
By Professor Lance Bosart, University of Albany, SUNY Over the last 25 years, the widespread availability of modern remotely sensed satellite observations combined with rapid advances in the skill of global weather forecasting models and the associated computational advances has resulted in a demonstrable improvement in weather forecasting skills. These skill improvements are evident in the actions that ordinary people, government officials, and private companies take in response to everyday forecasts as well as to forecasts of extreme weather. Human beings are hard-wired to think linearly and deterministically. However, the real world behaves nonlinearly and probabilistically. Scientific, computational, and technological advances beginning 25 years ago have made it possible for global weather forecasting centers to produce a variety of model-derived ensemble forecast products. These ensemble forecast products, which are rapidly increasing in number and complexity, have enabled a rapid growth in probabilistic weather forecasting. Our future weather forecasting world is probabilistic as will be illustrated. Dr. Lance F. Bosart is a distinguished professor in the Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences at the University at Albany, State University of New York. He joined the University at Albany faculty after he received his Ph.D. in meteorology from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 1969. He has been a distinguished professor since 2004. He is a weather scientist with a strong research interest in synoptic dynamic meteorology. He and his students work on a variety of mesoscale, synoptic-scale and planetary-scale research problems in the tropics, midlatitudes, and polar regions. He also works with his students on operationally oriented research problems through cooperative research projects with staff members of the National Weather Service under the auspices of the Cooperative Meteorology Education and Training (COMET) program run by the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research and the Collaborative Science, Technology, and Applied Research (CSTAR) Program sponsored by the National Weather Service. He is a member of the American Meteorological Society and the Royal Meteorological Society. He is a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society and the American Association for the Advancement of Science.
Event Type : Study Groups      
Category : Science Pop-Up Talks -- series 2
Date(s) : 04/15/2021
Day of Week : Thursday
Time : 1:00-2:30 PM
Location : Online
Instructor : Varied, see description
Fee : $10.00
Event Status : COMPLETED